THIS IS THE DEV/TESTING WEBSITE IPv4: 18.218.232.140 IPv6: || Country by IP: GB
Journals
Resources
About Us
Open Access

Policy Uncertainty and the Demand for Money in Canada: A Nonlinear Approach

Policy Uncertainty and the Demand for Money in Canada: A Nonlinear Approach

Year:    2018

Author:    Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen, Nayeri, Majid Maki

Applied Economics Quarterly, Vol. 64 (2018), Iss. 4 : pp. 279–295

Abstract

Abstract

Economic uncertainty is said to affect the demand for money in either direction. We use the new comprehensive measure of policy uncertainty and assess its impact on the demand for money in Canada. When a linear model was used, we found only short-run effects of uncertainty on Canadian cash holdings. However, when a nonlinear model was used, the results revealed that increased policy uncertainty has negative effect on the demand for money in the long run but decreased uncertainty has no effect, a clear sign of an asymmetric response by the public.

JEL classifications: E41

Keywords: Canada, Money Demand, Policy Uncertainty, Asymmetry, Nonlinear ARDL

You do not have full access to this article.

Already a Subscriber? Sign in as an individual or via your institution

Journal Article Details

Publisher Name:    Global Science Press

Language:    English

DOI:    https://doi.org/10.3790/aeq.64.4.279

Applied Economics Quarterly, Vol. 64 (2018), Iss. 4 : pp. 279–295

Published online:    2018-12

AMS Subject Headings:    Duncker & Humblot

Copyright:    COPYRIGHT: © Global Science Press

Pages:    17

Author Details

Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen

Nayeri, Majid Maki

  1. Effects of economic policy uncertainty and political uncertainty on business confidence and investment

    Montes, Gabriel Caldas | Nogueira, Fabiana da Silva Leite

    Journal of Economic Studies, Vol. 49 (2022), Iss. 4 P.577

    https://doi.org/10.1108/JES-12-2020-0582 [Citations: 11]
  2. POLICY UNCERTAINTY AND THE DEMAND FOR MONEY IN SINGAPORE: AN ASYMMETRIC ANALYSIS

    BAHMANI-OSKOOEE, MOHSEN | AFTAB, MUHAMMAD | BAHMANI, SAHAR

    The Singapore Economic Review, Vol. (2021), Iss. P.1

    https://doi.org/10.1142/S0217590821500697 [Citations: 0]
  3. Economic policy uncertainty, R&D expenditures and innovation outputs

    Tajaddini, Reza | Gholipour, Hassan F.

    Journal of Economic Studies, Vol. 48 (2020), Iss. 2 P.413

    https://doi.org/10.1108/JES-12-2019-0573 [Citations: 33]

  1. Aftab, M. K. / Shah, S. / Katper, N. A. (2017): “Exchange-rate volatility and Malaysian-Thai bilateral industry trade flows”, Journal of Economic Studies, 44, 99 –114.  Google Scholar
  2. Al-Shayeb, A. / Hatemi-J., A. (2016): “Trade openness and economic development in the UAE: an asymmetric approach”, Journal of Economic Studies, 43, 587 –597.  Google Scholar
  3. Arango, S. / Nadiri, M. I. (1981): “Demand for Money in Open economies”, Journal of Monetary Economics, 7, 69 –83.  Google Scholar
  4. Arize, A. C. / Malindretos, J. / Igwe, E. U. (2017): “Do Exchange Rate Changes Improve the Trade Balance: An Asymmetric Nonlinear Cointegration Approach”, International Review of Economics and Finance, 49, 313 –326.  Google Scholar
  5. Atta-Mensah, J. (2004): “Money and Economic Uncertainty”, Bank of Canada Working Paper 2004 –25, pp. 1 –19.  Google Scholar
  6. Baghestani, H./ Kherfi, S. (2015): “An error-correction modeling of US consumer spending: are there asymmetries?”, Journal of Economic Studies, 42, 1078 –1094.  Google Scholar
  7. Bahmani-Oskooee, M./ Bahmani, S. / Kones, A. / Kutan, A. (2015b): “Policy Uncertainty and the Demand for Money in the United Kingdom”, Applied Economics, 47, 1151 –1157.  Google Scholar
  8. Bahmani-Oskooee, M./ Chomsisengphet, S. (2002): “Stability of M2 Money Demand Function in Industrial Countries”, Applied Economics, 34, 2075 –2083.  Google Scholar
  9. Bahmani-Oskooee, M./ Fariditavana, H. (2016): “Nonlinear ARDL Approach and the J-Curve Phenomenon”, Open Economies Review, 27, 51 –70.  Google Scholar
  10. Bahmani-Oskooee, M./ Kones, A. (2014): “Economic Uncertainty, Monetary Uncertainty, and the Demand for Money in Africa”, Applied Economics Quarterly, 40, 293 –313.  Google Scholar
  11. Bahmani-Oskooee, M./ Kones, A. / Kutan, A. (2016): “Policy Uncertainty and the Demand for Money in the United States”, Applied Economics Quarterly, Vol. 62, pp. 37 –49.  Google Scholar
  12. Bahmani-Oskooee, M./ Kutan, A. / Xi, D. (2013): “The Impact of Economic and Monetary Uncertainty on the Demand for Money in Emerging Economies”, Applied Economics, 45, 278–3287.  Google Scholar
  13. Bahmani-Oskooee, M./ Maki-Nayeri, M. (2018a): “Policy Uncertainty and the Demand for Money in Korea: An Asymmetry Analysis”, International Economic Journal, 63, 567 –591.  Google Scholar
  14. Bahmani-Oskooee, M./ Maki-Nayeri, M. (2018b): “Policy Uncertainty and the Demand for Money in Australia: An Asymmetry Analysis”, Australian Economic Papers, 57, 456 –469.  Google Scholar
  15. Bahmani-Oskooee, M./Mohammadain, A. (2016): “Asymmetry Effects of Exchange Rate Changes on Domestic Production: Evidence from Nonlinear ARDL Approach”, Australian Economic Papers, 55, 181 –191.  Google Scholar
  16. Bahmani-Oskooee, M./ Pourheydarian, M. (1990): “Exchange Rate Sensitivity of the Demand for Money and Effectiveness of Fiscal and Monetary Policies”, Applied Economics, 22, 1377 –1384.  Google Scholar
  17. Bahmani-Oskooee, M./ Satawatananon, K. / Xi, D. (2015a): “Economic Uncertainty, Monetary Uncertainty, and the Demand for Money in Thailand”, Global Business and Economic Review, 17, 467–476.  Google Scholar
  18. Bahmani-Oskooee, M./Wang, Y. / Xi, D. (2012): “Economic Uncertainty, Monetary Uncertainty and the Demand for Money in China”, The Chinese Economy, 45, 26–37.  Google Scholar
  19. Bahmani-Oskooee, M./ Xi, D. (2014): “Economic Uncertainty, Monetary Uncertainty, and the Demand for Money: Evidence from Asian Countries”, Australian Economic Papers, 53, 16–28.  Google Scholar
  20. Baker, S. R. / Bloom, N. / Davis, S. J. (2016): “Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 131, 1593 –1636.  Google Scholar
  21. Banerjee, A. / Dolado, J. / Mestre, R. (1998): “Error-Correction Mechanism Tests in a Single Equation Framework”, Journal of Time Series Analysis 19, 267–85.  Google Scholar
  22. Bordo, M. D. / Choudhri, E. U. (1982): “Currency Substitution and the Demand for Money: Some Evidence for Canada”, Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, 14, 48 –57.  Google Scholar
  23. Bose, S. /Rahman, H. (1996): “The Demand for Money in Canada: A Cointegration Analysis”, International Economic Journal, 10, 29 –45.  Google Scholar
  24. Bruggemann, I. / Nautz, D. (1997): “Money Growth Volatility and the Demand for Money in Germany: Friedman’s Volatility Hypothesis Revisited”, Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, 133, 523–537.  Google Scholar
  25. Choi, W. G. / Seonghwan, O. (2003): “A Money Demand Function with Output Uncertainty, Monetary Uncertainty, and Financial Innovation”, Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, 35, 685–709.  Google Scholar
  26. Clinton, K. (1973): “The Demand for Money in Canada, 1955 –70: Some Single-Equation Estimates and Stability Tests”, The Canadian Journal of Economics, 6, 53 –61.  Google Scholar
  27. Durmaz, N. (2015): “Industry Level J-Curve in Turkey”, Journal of Economic Studies, 42, 689–706.  Google Scholar
  28. Engle, R. F. / Granger, C. W. J. (1987): “Co-integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation and Testing”, Econometrica, 55, 251 –276.  Google Scholar
  29. Friedman, M. (1984): “Lessons from the 1979 –1982 Monetary Policy Experiment”, American Economic Review, Papers and Proceedings, 74, 397 –400.  Google Scholar
  30. Gogas, P. / Pragidis, I. (2015): “Are there asymmetries in fiscal policy shocks?”, Journal of Economic Studies, 42, 303 –321.  Google Scholar
  31. Hoffman, D. L. / Rasche, R. H. /Tieslau, M. A. (1995): “The Stability of Long-Run Money Demand in Five Industrial Countries”, Journal of Monetary Economics, 35, 317 –339.  Google Scholar
  32. Hueng, C. J. (1998): “The Demand for Money in an Open Economy: Some Evidence for Canada”, North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 9, 15 –31.  Google Scholar
  33. Lima, L. / Foffano Vasconcelos, C. / Simão, J. / de Mendonça, H. (2016): “The quantitative easing effect on the stock market of the USA, the UK and Japan: An ARDL approach for the crisis period”, Journal of Economic Studies, 43, 1006 –1021.  Google Scholar
  34. Lumas, G. S. / Formuzis, P. A. (1968): “The Demand for Money in Canada”, The Canadian Journal of Economics,1, 640 –644.  Google Scholar
  35. Mundell, A. R. (1963): “Capital Mobility and Stabilization Policy under Fixed and Flexible Exchange Rates”, Canadian Journal of Economics and Political Science, 29, 475 –485.  Google Scholar
  36. Pesaran, M. H. / Shin, Y. / Smith, R. J. (2001): “Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships”, Journal of Applied Econometrics. 16, 289 -326.  Google Scholar
  37. Rausser, G. C. / Laumas, P. S. (1976): “The Stability of the Demand for Money in Canada”, Journal of Monetary Economics, 2, 367 –380.  Google Scholar
  38. Shin, Y. /Yu, B. C. /Greenwood-Nimmo, M. (2014): “Modelling Asymmetric Cointegration and Dynamic Multipliers in a Nonlinear ARDL Framework” Festschrift in Honor of Peter Schmidt: Econometric Methods and Applications, eds. by R. Sickels and W. Horrace: Springer, 281–314.  Google Scholar

Section Title Page Action Price
Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee / Majid Maki Nayeri: Policy Uncertainty and the Demand for Money in Canada: A Nonlinear Approach 1
Abstract 1
1. Introduction 1
2. The Models and Methods 3
3. The Results 7
4. Concluding Remarks 1
Appendix: Data Definition and Sources 1
References 1