Year: 2011
Author: Geldermann, Jutta, Bertsch, Valentin, Gering, Florian
Der Betriebswirt, Vol. 52 (2011), Iss. 2 : pp. 12–16
Abstract
Complex decision situations, such as in nuclear emergency and remediation management, require the consideration of technical, economic, ecological, socio-psychological and political aspects. Approaches for Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) help to take into account various incommensurable aspects and subjective preferences of the decision makers and thus contribute to transparency and traceability of decision processes. This paper focuses on the handling of uncertainties in such decision processes. Monte Carlo approaches can be used to model, propagate and finally visualise the uncertainties, as a case study on a hypothetical radiological accident scenario illustrates. In general, the presented approach can be adopted for any complex decision situation, especially for industrial emergencies. Further research would be necessary for the analysis of their consequences for entire supply chains.
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Journal Article Details
Publisher Name: Global Science Press
Language: German
DOI: https://doi.org/10.3790/dbw.52.2.12
Der Betriebswirt, Vol. 52 (2011), Iss. 2 : pp. 12–16
Published online: 2011-06
AMS Subject Headings: Duncker & Humblot, Deutscher Betriebswirte-Verlag GmbH
Copyright: COPYRIGHT: © Global Science Press
Pages: 5
Keywords: Risiko- und Notfallmanagement unter Unsicherheit
Author Details
| Section Title | Page | Action | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jutta Geldermann / Valentin Bertsch / Florian Gering: Risiko- und Notfallmanagement unter Unsicherheit am Beispiel der Planung effizienter Maßnahmen nach kerntechnischen Störfällen (Teil 2) | 12 | ||
| 5 Datenassimilation bei der Abschätzung radioaktiver Kontamination | 12 | ||
| I. Kalman-Filter | 12 | ||
| II. Ensemble-Kalman-Filter | 13 | ||
| III. Datenassimilation in RODOS | 14 | ||
| 6 Fallbeispiel | 14 | ||
| a.Workshops | 15 | ||
| b. Ergebnisse unter Unsicherheit | 16 | ||
| Anmerkungen | 16 |