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Risiko- und Notfallmanagement unter Unsicherheit (Teil 3)

Risiko- und Notfallmanagement unter Unsicherheit (Teil 3)
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Year:    2011

Author:    Geldermann, Jutta, Bertsch, Valentin, Gering, Florian

Der Betriebswirt, Vol. 52 (2011), Iss. 3 : pp. 10–14

Abstract

Complex decision situations, such as in nuclear emergency and remediation management, require the consideration of technical, economic, ecological, socio-psychological and political aspects. Approaches for Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) help to take into account various incommensurable aspects and subjective preferences of the decision makers and thus contribute to transparency and traceability of decision processes. This paper focuses on the handling of uncertainties in such decision processes. Monte Carlo approaches can be used to model, propagate and finally visualise the uncertainties, as a case study on a hypothetical radiological accident scenario illustrates. In general, the presented approach can be adopted for any complex decision situation, especially for industrial emergencies. Further research would be necessary for the analysis of their consequences for entire supply chains.

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Journal Article Details

Publisher Name:    Global Science Press

Language:    German

DOI:    https://doi.org/10.3790/dbw.52.3.10

Der Betriebswirt, Vol. 52 (2011), Iss. 3 : pp. 10–14

Published online:    2011-09

AMS Subject Headings:    Duncker & Humblot, Deutscher Betriebswirte-Verlag GmbH

Copyright:    COPYRIGHT: © Global Science Press

Pages:    5

Keywords:    Risiko- und Notfallmanagement unter Unsicherheit

Author Details

Geldermann, Jutta

Bertsch, Valentin

Gering, Florian

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Section Title Page Action Price
Jutta Geldermann / Valentin Bertsch / Florian Gering: Risiko- und Notfallmanagement unter Unsicherheit am Beispiel der Planung effizienter Maßnahmen nach kerntechnischen Störfällen (Teil 3) 1
6 Fallbeispiel 1
c. Schlussfolgerungen aus dem Fallbeispiel 1
d. Öffentliche Akzeptanz und Risikokommunikation 1
7 Übertragbarkeit des entwickelten Entscheidungsunterstützungssystems 2
a. Weitere Einsatzbereiche im Notfallmanagement 2
b. Notfallmanagement in der Supply Chain 3
c. Kalman-Filter zur Verbesserung der Vorhersage 3
8 Schlussfolgerungen 4
Anmerkungen 4
Literatur 4
Danksagung 5