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Are GDP Revisions Predictable Evidence for Switzerland

Are GDP Revisions Predictable Evidence for Switzerland

Year:    2012

Author:    Siliverstovs, Boriss

Applied Economics Quarterly, Vol. 58 (2012), Iss. 4 : pp. 299–326

Abstract

This study presents a model that delivers more accurate forecasts of the revised rather initial estimates of the quarterly GDP growth rate in Switzerland during the period of the recent financial crisis. The key explanation to our findings is that our model, capitalizing on the information contained in the Business Tendency Surveys, is able to predict future revisions of the initial estimates. Our findings imply that there is a scope for improvement of how preliminary estimates of the quarterly GDP growth rate are produced in Switzerland.

JEL Classification: C53, E37

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Journal Article Details

Publisher Name:    Global Science Press

Language:    English

DOI:    https://doi.org/10.3790/aeq.58.4.299

Applied Economics Quarterly, Vol. 58 (2012), Iss. 4 : pp. 299–326

Published online:    2012-12

AMS Subject Headings:    Duncker & Humblot

Copyright:    COPYRIGHT: © Global Science Press

Pages:    28

Author Details

Siliverstovs, Boriss

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