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The Quantity Theory of Money: Valid Only for High and Medium Inflation?

The Quantity Theory of Money: Valid Only for High and Medium Inflation?

Year:    2015

Author:    Hillinger, Claude, Süssmuth, Bernd, Sunder, Marco

Applied Economics Quarterly, Vol. 61 (2015), Iss. 4 : pp. 315–329

Abstract

Under the assumption of a constant liquidity preference in the equation of exchange, the quantity theory of money (QTM) has been frequently confirmed for strong inflation regimes, but much less so for medium or low inflation. Against the backdrop of Milton Friedman’s famous rule and relaxing the constancy assumption, we study the time series and cross-sectional properties of central variables of the Cambridge-form of the equation of exchange across a large sample of countries. In doing so, we particularly focus on the liquidity preference parameter. Our cross-country analysis confirms Friedman’s conviction drawn from US data as we find the liquidity preference to also internationally grow secularly by about 2 percent p.a. on average. This holds for low-inflation as well as high-inflation countries.

JEL Classification: E31, E41, E51, E59, C180

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Journal Article Details

Publisher Name:    Global Science Press

Language:    English

DOI:    https://doi.org/10.3790/aeq.61.4.315

Applied Economics Quarterly, Vol. 61 (2015), Iss. 4 : pp. 315–329

Published online:    2015-12

AMS Subject Headings:    Duncker & Humblot

Copyright:    COPYRIGHT: © Global Science Press

Pages:    15

Author Details

Hillinger, Claude

Süssmuth, Bernd

Sunder, Marco